He has a sneaky method. He takes a stand and whenever events unfold in a way that is contrary to his assessment or prediction, he writes as if the readers don't remember him take him a contrary stand earlier. He did that in Iraq in 2003: he vocally supported the war, and when US predictions all collapsed, he became a critic of the war and acted like he had not supported the war. The same now with Arab uprisings: he first assured Israel that it had nothing to worry about, that Arab uprisings are not about foreign policy. Now this: "Israel is facing the biggest erosion of its strategic environment since its http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/30/opinion/israel-and-the-arab-awakening.html?ref=opinion&pagewanted=print -