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Daniel Dworsky
Senior Member
Joined: 17 March 2005 Location: Israel Online Status: Offline Posts: 777 |
![]() Posted: 16 December 2006 at 2:58pm |
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Uri Avnery
16.12.06 Back to the Scene of the Crime WHEN THE Israeli government decided, in the space of a few hours, to start the Second Lebanon War, it did not have any plan. When the Chief-of-Staff urged the cabinet to start the war, he did not submit any plan. This was disclosed this week by a military investigation committee. That is shocking. A plan is not an optional extra, something nice you can do without. A war without a plan is like a human body without a spinal column. Would anyone think of building a house without a plan? To put up a bridge? To produce a car? To hold a conference? After all, unlike a house, a bridge, a car or a conference, a war is supposed to kill people. Its very essence is killing and destroying. Almost in every case, to initiate a war is a crime. To start such a war without a plan and proper preparation is totally irresponsible - heaping crime upon crime. WHEN A STATE starts a war, the sequence is - in simplistic terms - as follows: (1) The government adopts a clear political aim. (2) The government deliberates whether this aim can be achieved by war - after it comes to the conclusion that it cannot be achieved by other means. From this point on, the emphasis moves from the political to the military leadership. Its duty is: (3) To draw up a strategic plan for attaining the aim decided upon by the government. (4) To translate the strategic plan into a tactical plan. Among others: to decide what forces are needed, which forces will be employed, what is the target of each force and within which time it must achieve it, as well as to foresee possible moves by the other side. (5) To prepare the forces for their tasks, in accordance with their training and equipment. A wise government will also think about the situation it would like to have after the war, and will instruct the military to take this into consideration while planning their operations. Now it appears that nothing of this sort happened. There was no clearly defined war aim, there was no political or military plan, there were no clear objectives for the troops and they were not prepared for the tasks they were given. Without a central plan, nothing of these was even possible. A war without a plan is no war at all, but an adventure. A government that starts a war without a plan is no government at all, but a bunch of politicians. A General Staff that goes to war without a plan is no General Staff at all, but a group of generals. THE WAY events developed, according to the inquiry committees, was like this: the government decided on the war in a hurry, within a few hours, without defining any aim. In the following days, several war aims were thrown around. They followed each other in quick succession and contradicted each other in many ways. That by itself is a recipe for disaster: every aim demands its own methods and means, which may be quite different from those demanded by another. Among the aims that were announced: the release of the two captured soldiers, the destruction of Hizbullah, the elimination of the arsenal of missiles in South Lebanon, the pushing of Hizbullah away from the border, and more. Beyond that there was a general desire to have a Lebanese government that was completely subservient to American and Israeli interests. If competent army officers had been instructed to draw up a plan for each of these aims, they would soon have arrived at the conclusion that all of them were unattainable by military means, certainly not under the circumstances. The idea that the two prisoners could be liberated by war is manifestly ridiculous. Like going after a mosquito with a sledgehammer. The proper means is diplomacy. Perhaps somebody would have suggested capturing some Hizbullah commanders in order to facilitate an exchange of prisoners. Anything - except a war. The destruction of Hizbullah by a necessarily limited war was impossible, as should have been clear from the beginning. This is a guerilla force that is part of a political movement which is deeply rooted in Lebanese reality (as can be seen these days on any television screen). No guerilla movement can be destroyed by a regular army, and certainly not in one single stroke and within days or weeks. The elimination of the missile arsenal? If the army command had sat down to elaborate a military plan, they would have realized that aerial bombardment can achieve this only in part. A complete destruction would have demanded the occupation of all of South Lebanon, well beyond the Litani River. During that time, a large part of Israel would have been exposed to the missiles, without the population being prepared for it. If that conclusion had been presented to the government, would it have taken the decision it took? The pushing of Hizbullah from the border by a few kilometers north is not a proper war aim. Starting a war for that purpose, leading to the killing of masses of people and destroying whole neighborhoods and villages, would have meant frivolity where serious deliberation was required . But the government did not have to go into such deliberations. Since It did not define any clear aim, it did not demand nor receive any military plan. IF THE recklessness of the political leadership was scandalous, the recklessness of the military leadership was doubly so. The army command went to war without any clearly defined aim and without any plan. There were some plans that had been prepared and exercised beforehand, without any specific political aim in mind, but they were ignored and abandoned as the war started. After all, who needs a plan? Since when do Israelis plan? Israelis improvise, and are proud of it. So they improvised. The Chief-of-Staff, an Air Force general, decided that it was sufficient to bomb: if enough civilians were killed and enough houses, roads and bridges destroyed, the Lebanese people would go down on its knees and do whatever the Israeli government commanded. When this failed (as should have been foreseen) and most Lebanese of all communities rallied behind Hizbullah, The C-o-C realized that there was no avoiding ground operations. Since there was no plan, he did without. Troops were sent into Lebanon in a haphazard way, without clear objectives, without time-tables. The same locations were occupied time and again. The end result: the forces bit off small pieces of land on the edges of Hizbullah territory, without any real achievement, but with heavy losses. It cannot be said that the war aims were not attained. Simply, there was no war aim. THE WORST part was not the lack of a plan. The worst part was that the generals did not even notice its absence. The investigators of the State Comptroller disclosed last week a startling fact of utmost importance: most members of the General Staff have never attended any of the high command courses which are the Israeli equivalent of a military academy. This means that they never learned military history and the principles of strategy. They are military technicians, equivalent to engineering technicians or bookkeepers. I assume that they are well versed in the technical side of the profession: how to move forces, how to activate weapon systems, and such. But they have not read books about military theory and the art of war, have not studied how the leaders of armies conducted their wars throughout the centuries, have not become acquainted with the thoughts of the great military thinkers. A military leader needs intuition. Certainly. But intuition grows from by experience - his own experience, the experience of his army and the accumulated experience of centuries of warfare. For example: if they had read the books of Basil Liddell Hart, perhaps the most authoritative military commentator of the last century, they would have learned that the battle of David and Goliath was not a confrontation between a boy with a primitive sling and a heavily armed and protected giant, as it is usually presented, but quite on the contrary, a battle between a sophisticated fighter with a modern weapon that could kill from a distance and a cumbersome combatant equipped with obsolescent arms. In the Lebanon war, the role of David was played by Hizbullah, a mobile and resourceful force, while the Israeli army was Goliath, heavy, routine- bound, with inappropriate weapons. ANYBODY WHO reads this column regularly knows that we blew the whistle well before the war. But our criticism then was suspect because of our opposition to the war itself, which we considered immoral, superfluous and senseless. Now we have several military inquiry committees, appointed by the chief- of-Staff himself (about 40 of them!), and they, one after another, confirm our criticism almost word for word. Not only confirm, but add a wealth of details that paint an even darker picture. It is a picture of utter confusion: improvised operations, an anarchic command structure, misunderstanding of orders, orders that were issued, cancelled and issued again, General Staff officers giving orders directly to subordinate commanders bypassing the chain of command. An army that was once one of the best in the world, an object of study for officers in many countries, has become an inefficient and incompetent body. The committees do not answer a basic question: how did this happen? EXCEPT FOR a few hints here and there, the committees do not say how we got here. What has happened to the Israeli army? This, too, we have said many times: the army is the victim of the occupation. Next June, the occupation of the Palestinian territories will "celebrate" its 40th anniversary. There is no precedent for such a long military occupation regime. A military occupation is by its very nature a short- term instrument. In the course of a war, the army conquers enemy territory, administers it until the end of the war, when its fate is decided by a peace agreement. No army is happy with the role of an occupying force, knowing that this destroys it, corrupts it from inside, damages it physically and mentally, diverts it from its most important function and imposes on it methods that have nothing to do with its real mission - to defend the state in war. With us, the occupation became, almost from the beginning, a political instrument for the attainment of objectives that are foreign to the function of "Defense Forces". In theory, it is a military regime, but in practice it is a colonial subjugation, in which the Israeli army mainly fulfills the shameful task of an oppressive police force. In today's army, there is no officer on active service who remembers the Israel Defense Forces from before the occupation, the army that grew up in the "small" Israel within the Green Line, that defeated five Arab armies in six days, commanded by the brilliant General Staff under Yitzhak Rabin. All the commanders of the Second Lebanon War started their career when it was already an occupation army. The last military success of the Israeli army was achieved early in the occupation period, a generation ago, in the Yom Kippur war, An army whose job is to uphold the occupation - "targeted killings" (approved this week by the Supreme Court in a shameful decision), demolition of homes, mistreating helpless civilians, hunting stone-throwing children, humiliating people at innumerable roadblocks and the hundred and one other daily doings of an occupation army - has shown that it is not fitted for real war, even against a small guerilla force. THE CORRUPTION of the Israeli army and the rot that has set in, exposed in all their ugliness by the investigations of the war, are a danger for the State of Israel. It is not enough to remove the Chief-of-Staff (whose clinging to his post is another scandal added to the scandals of the war), nor is it enough to change the whole high command. There is a need for reform from the top to the bottom, a change of the army in all sectors and all grades. But as long as the occupation lasts, there is no point in even starting. We have always said: the occupation corrupts. Now it has to be said with a clear voice: the occupation is endangering the security of Israel. |
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herjihad
Senior Member
Joined: 26 January 2005 Location: United States Online Status: Offline Posts: 2473 |
![]() Posted: 16 December 2006 at 4:24pm |
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Originally posted by Maryah
Originally posted by Daniel Dworsky
I meant the settlers but now that I think about it Haldol (Antihallucinogenic) seems more appropriate Asalaamu alaikum, Brother Daniel, you are Muslim? It does not matter, but you sound as if your are. May Allah (swt) keep you and your family safe. Salaams and Bismillah, Dear Sister Maryah, I feel as if Daniel is my brother in spirit knowing full well that he is a sincere Jewish man. Just as I feel about Angela. They are both wonderful people and I'm glad to have the honor to know them. |
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Al-Hamdulillah (From a Married Muslimah) La Howla Wa La Quwata Illa BiLLah - There is no Effort or Power except with Allah's Will.
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Daniel Dworsky
Senior Member
Joined: 17 March 2005 Location: Israel Online Status: Offline Posts: 777 |
![]() Posted: 17 December 2006 at 10:10am |
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Write a letter to keep The Hope Flowers School accessible
17/12/06 I am kindly asking you and the Civil Administration NOT to continue with your plans to demolish the cafeteria building of the first, and only, school for peace and coexistence in the Palestinian Territories. We are also concerned that the wall/fence that the Israelis authorities started to build near the school will prevent Israelis from reaching the school. We are asking you to create a Gate or Entrance in that wall near the school to allow Israelis to reach the Hope Flowers School. Attention: C/O: Subject: The Hope Flowers School in Al Khader, Case Number related to demolition: 107/02 Date Dear Sir, We kindly request your attention to the following matter. For several years we have supported a Palestinian school on the West Bank in Al Khader village near Bethlehem. The name of the school is Al Amal, The Hope Flowers School. We support this school because of its approach to peace and democracy education. The Hope Flowers School was established in 1984 when the late founder of the school, Mr. Hussein Issa (may he rest in peace), was confident that the Palestinian and Israeli conflict could not be solved by violence. He believed that the only way to solve the conflict was to create a new generation of Palestinians and Israelis that believed in peace, coexistence and respecting the rights of each other. Mr. Issa thought that by bringing Palestinian and Israeli children together and teaching them to look beyond the fear that years of conflict and stereotyping has created, then these children would grow and bond in friendship. He also hoped that they would then create a peaceful solution to the Israeli / Palestinian conflict. Therefore, the school has many contacts and partnerships with Israeli schools, teachers and students. Israeli volunteers and teachers worked in the school before the Palestinian uprising started in 2000. 1. However, the Hope Flowers School received a demolition order for the school cafeteria from the Israeli army (Case 107/02) on 5th November, 2003. We are very concerned about this recent threat to demolish the cafeteria building. I am kindly asking you and the Civil Administration NOT to continue with your plans to demolish the cafeteria building of the first, and only, school for peace and coexistence in the Palestinian Territories. 2. We are also concerned that the wall/fence that the Israelis authorities started to build near the school will prevent Israelis from reaching the school. We are asking you to create a Gate or Entrance in that wall near the school to allow Israelis to reach the Hope Flowers School. This will keep dialogue alive and will allow hope to flower for the next Palestinian and Israeli generation. Thank you in advance for your consideration. Sincerely Yours, Name. Address. [Send it to:] a) Commander Israeli Civil Administration (Sub Committee for Supervision of Building Activity in Beth El), Fax: (Israel) 2 997 7326. b) Mr. Ehud Olmert, Israeli Prime Minister: E-mail: eulmert@knesset.gov.il Fax: (Israel) 2 566 4838 or (Israel) 2 267 5475, Tel: (Israel) 2 670 5555. 3. The Israeli Embassy / Consulate in your home country. System Message: INFO/1 (<string>, line 36) Enumerated list start value not ordinal-1: "c" (ordinal 3) System Message: INFO/1 (<string>, line 39) Possible title underline, too short for the title. Treating it as ordinary text because it's so short. d) Dr Condoleezza Rice, US Secretary of State, address: U.S Department of State, 2210 C Street N.W, Washington D.C 20520, USA. tel: (USA) 202 647 5291(Dr. Rice s office) / 202 647 4000 (State Dept. main number) Email: http://contact-us.state.gov . |
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herjihad
Senior Member
Joined: 26 January 2005 Location: United States Online Status: Offline Posts: 2473 |
![]() Posted: 17 December 2006 at 3:12pm |
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Salaams and Bismillah, Brother Daniel, This says: However, the Hope Flowers School received a demolition order for So it is now three years after this order was issued. What's going on? Please elucidate. Thanks. |
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Al-Hamdulillah (From a Married Muslimah) La Howla Wa La Quwata Illa BiLLah - There is no Effort or Power except with Allah's Will.
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Daniel Dworsky
Senior Member
Joined: 17 March 2005 Location: Israel Online Status: Offline Posts: 777 |
![]() Posted: 18 December 2006 at 12:21am |
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I'd like to say that we've been holding the Caterpillars at bay since then
but the army doesn't always do "when" very well it's all about what, where and how. We have our guys letting us know from the inside about the "whens" Our information is that the Army Engineers are ready to take it down in the next few days. Once the deed is done it's done. I've been at demolitions, Nassalat Issa, where the army took down an entire shopping center in Palestine. We had a stay of demolition from the superior court (Israeli Superior Court) In our hands and when we interfered we were beaten up by border guard. I personally am putting at least once dental surgeon's child through college. this all depends on wether I decide on implants or leaving the back teeth out. My wife says it looks like the place you put a bit for a horse. I digress. The point is that we need legal help outside of Israeli law. Here the law isn't so much an ass as it is a little bunny rabbit. Really bad people are running things here especially in the Israeli army right now. Those two disasters to hit the US (Bush and 9/11) have coincided with or caused a total disrespect for justice and even the law. Lately it has gone as far as in the case of extra judicial executions, to pervert the law it's self. Capital punishment is a disgrace any where. To put it in the hands of the government as a legal tool is banana republic stuff. When they say some one is going "Bananas" this is what they mean. This isn't about st**id policeman who are about this far from being criminals themselves or bored soldiers who fire a round into a Palestinian water heater from half a mile away after 8 hours of guard duty. No. These are politicians and civil servants popping off people from behind a desk. Dispatching people like they were Judy Dent and Pierce Brosnen. This is how they see themselves. Romantically. I would say that animals behave like this but the insult is too brutaI to the animals of course. Edited by Daniel Dworsky |
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Daniel Dworsky
Senior Member
Joined: 17 March 2005 Location: Israel Online Status: Offline Posts: 777 |
![]() Posted: 18 December 2006 at 1:34am |
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Israfil,
In Israel. The police departments are sort of like protected workshops for the mentally challenged. We have improved here on the buddy system. We have three policeman in each car. It used to be two like in the states so that one could need only read and the other write. Now with all the decent and human rights talk we need a third to keep an eye on these two budding intellectuals... That was a Joke... I think. Edited by Daniel Dworsky |
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Daniel Dworsky
Senior Member
Joined: 17 March 2005 Location: Israel Online Status: Offline Posts: 777 |
![]() Posted: 18 December 2006 at 1:40am |
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Uri Avnery
23.12.06 Sorry, Wrong Continent A FEW weeks ago, the 15th Asian games, the "Asiad", was held in Qatar. The Israeli media treated the event with a mixture of derision and pity. Some kind of picturesque Asian circus. Our television showed an exotic horseman with a keffiyeh at the opening ceremony, riding his noble Arab steed up a steep staircase to light the Olympic flame. And that was that. One question was not asked at all in any of the media: why are we not there? Does Israel not lie in Asia? That was not even considered. We? In Asia? How come? WHEN I followed the event on Aljazeera television, I suddenly remembered a private anniversary that had slipped my memory. Exactly 60 years ago a small number of young people founded a group that called itself in Hebrew "Young Eretz-Israel" and in Arabic "Young Palestine". With money out of our own pockets (at the time we were all quite poor) we published occasional issues of a periodical we called Bamaavak ("In the struggle"). Bamaavak stirred up a lot of stormy waves, because it voiced infuriatingly heretical opinions. Contrary to the dominant Zionist narrative, it asserted that we, the young generation growing up in the country, constituted a new nation, the Hebrew nation. Unlike the somewhat similar group of "Canaanites", that preceded us, we proclaimed that (a) the new nation is a part of the Jewish people, much as Australia is a part of the Anglo-Saxon people, and (b) that we are a sister-nation to the resurgent Arab nation in the country and throughout the region. And, no less important: that since the new Hebrew nation was born in the country, and the country belongs to Asia, we are an Asian nation, a natural ally to all the Asian and African nations that strive for liberation from colonialism. On Wednesday, March 19, 1947, a few months after the first edition of Bamaavak had appeared, the Hebrew daily Haboker reported: "On the occasion of the opening of the Pan-Asian Conference (in New Delhi), the group Young Eretz Israel has sent a cable to Jawaharlal Nehru reading: 'Please receive the congratulations of the Eretz-Israeli youth for your historic initiative. May the aspirations for freedom of the peoples of New Asia, inspired by your heroic example, become united. Long live the united and arising Young Asia, the vanguard of fraternity and progress'." A similar news story appeared on the same day on the front page of the Palestine Post (the predecessor of the Jerusalem Post), with the names of the signatories: Uri Avnery, Amos Elon and Ben-Ami Gur. Bamaavak appeared from time to time, whenever we had enough money, up to the outbreak of the 1948 war. In the Hebrew press, more than a hundred reactions were published, almost all of them negative, many of them vituperative. The famous writer Moshe Shamir, then a left-winger, made a neat play on words, calling us Bamat-Avak ("stage of dust"). When the war broke out, this whole chapter was overshadowed and forgotten. But almost all we said 60 years ago remains relevant today. And the most relevant question is: To what continent does the State of Israel actually belong? I BELIEVE that one of the most profound causes for the historic conflict between us and the Arab world in general, and the Palestinian people in particular, is the fact that the Zionist movement declared, from its very first day, that it did not belong to the region in which we live. Perhaps that is one of the reasons for the fact that even after four generations, this wound has not healed. In his book "The Jewish State", the founding document of the Zionist movement, Theodor Herzl famously wrote: "For Europe we shall be (in Palestine) a part of the wall against Asia…the vanguard of culture against barbarism…" This attitude is typical for the whole history of Zionism and the State of Israel up to the present day. Indeed, a few weeks ago the Israeli ambassador to Australia declared that "Asia belongs to the yellow race, while we are Whites and have no slit eyes. " One can perhaps forgive Herzl, a quintessential European, who lived in an era when imperialism dominated European thought. But today, four generations later, those forming public opinion in Israel, people born in the country, continue along the same path. Former Prime Minister Ehud Barak declared that Israel is "a villa in the middle of the jungle" (the Arab jungle, of course), and this attitude is shared by practically all our politicians. Tsipi Livni likes to talk about the "dangerous neighborhood" in which we are living, and the chief advisor of Ariel Sharon once said that there will be no peace until "the Palestinians turn into Finns." Our soccer and basketball teams play in the European leagues, the Eurovision song contest is a national event in Israel, 95% of our political activity is focused on Europe and North America. But the phenomenon extends far beyond the political arena - this is a "world view" in the literal sense. In our world, Israel is a part of Europe. In the 50s, when I was the editor of the news magazine Haolam Hazeh, I once published a cartoon that I am still proud of: it showed the map of the Eastern Mediterranean, with an arm projecting from Greece and holding scissors that cut Israel off from Asia. It is a pity that I did not add a second drawing, showing Israel being attached to the shore of France or, preferably, Miami. These days it would be hard to find anybody who would assert that Asia - India, China - is barbarian. But it is easy to find people in Israel, and throughout the West, who believe that the Arab world, and indeed the entire Muslim world, is a "jungle". With such an attitude, one cannot make peace. After all, one does not make peace with poisonous snakes and ravenous leopards. In the Bamaavak days, we coined the slogan "Integration in the Semitic Region". But how can one integrate oneself in a region that is seen as a jungle? A WORLD VIEW is not an academic matter. It has a huge impact on actual life. It influences people when it is conscious, and even more so when it is unconscious. It shapes the practical decisions, without the decision- makers being aware of it. Politicians, too, are only human beings (if that), and their actions are directed by their hidden beliefs. In Israel we are used to consider unquestioned "conceptsias" as the mother of all our mistakes and defeats. But is such an assumption any different from the expression of an unconscious world-view? The world-view influences many aspects of the state. It is the core of the education system, which forms the mind of the next generation. We have perhaps the only education system in the world that does not teach the history of its homeland. In our schools, very little is taught about the past of the country. Instead, what is taught is the history of "the Jewish people". This starts with the ancient Israelite kingdoms before the sixth century BC ("the First Temple"), then the Jewish community in the country before the beginning of the Christian era and for some years after ("the Second Temple"). Then it leaves the country and dwells on the Jewish Diaspora for some thousands of years, until the beginning of the Zionist settlement. For almost 2000 years, the annals of the country disappear from the school. I once talked about this in a speech in the Knesset. I said that an Israeli child born in the country, whether Jewish or Arab, should study the history of the country, including all its periods and peoples: Canaanites, Israelites, Hellenists, Romans, Arabs, Crusaders, Mamelukes, Turks, British, Palestinians, Israelis and more. In addition they could be taught the story of the Jews in the diaspora, too. The Minister of Education responded humorously and insisted on calling me, from then on, "the Mameluke". LATELY IT has become fashionable for politicians and commentators in Israel to speak about the danger of annihilation that hovers, or so they claim, over Israel. It is hardly believable: the State of Israel is a regional superpower, its economy is robust and developing, its technological level is one of the most advanced in the world, its army is stronger than all the Arab armies combined, it has a huge arsenal of nuclear weapons. Even if the Iranians were to obtain a bomb of their own, they would be mad to use it, for fear of Israeli retaliation. So where does this fear of annihilation come from in the 59th year of the state? A part of it surely emanates from the memory of the Holocaust, which is deeply imprinted in the national mentality. But another part comes from the feeling of not belonging, of temporariness, of the lack of roots. That has, of course, domestic implications, too. Consciousness also affects practical interests. The assertion that we are a European people automatically reinforces the position of our ruling class, which is still overwhelmingly Ashkenazi-European, over and against the majority of the citizens of Israel, who are of Asian-African Jewish and Palestinian-Arab descent. The profound disdain for their culture, which has accompanied the state from its first day, facilitates discrimination against them in many fields. A CHANGE affecting the consciousness of a community is not a short- term proposition. It cannot be achieved by decree. This is a slow and gradual process. But at some stage we shall have to start it, and first of all in the education system. I started my booklet "War or Peace in the Semitic Region", which was published in October 1947, just a few weeks before the outbreak of the 1948 war, with the words: "When our Zionist fathers decided to set up a 'safe home' in Eretz Israel, they had the choice between two roads: they could appear in West Asia as a European conqueror, who sees himself as a beachhead of the 'white' race and a master of the 'natives'…(or) see themselves as an Asian nation returning to its homeland." When I wrote these words, the rise of Asia was still a dream. World War II had ended just two years before, and the United States looked like an omnipotent superpower. But now a quiet revolution of huge proportions is taking place. The nations of Asia, with China and India in the lead, are becoming economic and political powers. Should we not gradually move toward this camp? That brochure, 60 years ago, ended with the words of a Hebrew song: "We stand and face the rising sun / To the East our homeward path…" Edited by Daniel Dworsky |
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Daniel Dworsky
Senior Member
Joined: 17 March 2005 Location: Israel Online Status: Offline Posts: 777 |
![]() Posted: 04 January 2007 at 1:58am |
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Uri Avnery
6.1.2007 Kiss of Death SINCE JUDAS ISCARIOT embraced Jesus, Jerusalem has not seen such a kiss. After being boycotted by Ariel Sharon and Ehud Olmert for years, Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) was invited to the official residence of the Prime Minister of Israel two weeks ago. There, in front of the cameras, Olmert embraced him and kissed him warmly on both cheeks. Abbas looked stunned, and froze. Somehow the scene was reminiscent of another incident of politically- inspired physical contact: the embarassing occurrence at the Camp David meeting, when Prime Minister Ehud Barak pushed Yasser Arafat forcefully into the room where Bill Clinton stood waiting. In both instances it was a gesture that was intended to look like paying respect to the Palestinian leader, but both were actually acts of violence that - seemingly - testified to ignorance of the customs of the other people and of their delicate situation. Actually, the aim was quite different. ACCORDING TO the New Testament, Judas Iscariot kissed Jesus in order to point him out to those who had come to arrest him. In appearance - an act of love and friendship. In effect - a death sentence. On the face of it, Olmert was out to do Abbas a favor. He paid him respect, introduced him to his wife and honored him with the title "Mr. President". That should not be underestimated. At Oslo, titanic battles were fought over this title. The Palestinians insisted that the head of the future Palestinian Authority should be called "President". The Israelis rejected this out of hand, because this title could indicate something like a state. In the end, it was agreed that the (binding) English version would carry the Arabic title "Ra'is", since that language uses the same word for both President and Chairman. Abbas, who signed the document for the Palestinian side, probably did not envisage that he himself would be the first to be addressed by an Israeli Prime Minister as "President". But enough trivia. More important is the outcome of this event. After the imposed kiss, Abbas needed a big Israeli gesture to justify the meeting in the eyes of his people. And indeed, why shouldn't Olmert do something resounding? For example, to release on the spot a thousand prisoners, remove all the hundreds of checkpoints scattered across the West Bank, open the passage between the West Bank and the Gaza Strip? Nothing of the sort happened. Olmert did not release a single prisoner - no woman, no child, no old man, no sick person. He did indeed announce (for the umpteenth time) that the roadblocks would be "eased", but the Palestinians report that they have not felt any change. Perhaps, here and there, the endless queue at some of the roadblocks has become a little shorter. Also, Olmert gave back a fifth of the Palestinian tax money withheld (or embezzled) by the Israeli government. To the Palestinians, this looked like another shameful failure for their President: he went to Canossa and received meaningless promises that were not kept. WHY DID Olmert go through all these motions? The naïve explanation is political. President Bush wanted some movement in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, which would look like an American achievement. Condoleezza Rice transmitted the order to Olmert. Olmert agreed to meet Abbas at long last. There was a meeting. A kiss was effected. Promises were made and immediately forgotten. Americans, as is well known, have short memories. Even shorter (if that is possible) than ours. But there is also a more cynical explanation. If one humiliates Abbas, one strengthens Hamas. Palestinian support for Abbas depends on one single factor: his ability to get from the US and Israel things Hamas cannot. The Americans and the Israelis love him, so - the argument goes - they will give him what is needed: the mass release of prisoners, an end to the targeted killings, the removal of the monstrous roadblocks, the opening of the passage between the West Bank and Gaza, the start of serious negotiations for peace. But if Abbas cannot deliver any of these - what remains but the methods of Hamas? The business of the prisoners provides a good example. Nothing troubles the Palestinians more than this: almost every Palestinian clan has people in prison. Every family is affected: a father, a brother, a son, sometimes a daughter. Every night, the Israeli army "arrests" another dozen or so. How to get them free? Hamas has a proven remedy: to capture Israelis (in the Israeli and international media, Israelis are "kidnapped" while Palestinians are "arrested"). For the return of the Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit, Olmert will release many prisoners. Israelis, according to Palestinian experience, understand only the language of force. Some of Olmert's advisors had a brilliant idea: to give Abbas hundreds of prisoners as a gift, just for nothing. That would reinforce the position of the Palestinian president and prove to the Palestinians that they can get more from us this way than by violence. It would deal a sharp blow to the Hamas government, whose overthrow is a prime aim of the governments both of Israel and the USA. Out of the question, cried another group of Olmert's spin doctors. How will the Israeli media react if prisoners are released before Shalit comes home? The trouble is that Shalit is held by Hamas and its allies, and not by Abbas. If it is forbidden to release prisoners before the return of Shalit, then all the cards are in the hands of Hamas. In that case, perhaps it makes sense to speak with Hamas? Unthinkable! The result: no strengthening of Abbas, no dialogue with Hamas, no nothing. THAT IS an old Israeli tradition: when there are two alternatives, we choose the third: not to do anything. For me, the classic example is the Jericho affair. In the middle 70s, King Hussein made an offer to Henry Kissinger: Israel should withdraw from Jericho and turn the town over to the king. The Jordanian army would hoist the Jordanian flag there, announcing symbolically that Jordan is the decisive Arab presence in the West Bank. Kissinger liked the idea and called Yigal Allon, the Israeli foreign minister. Allon informed the Prime Minister, Yitzhak Rabin. All the top political echelon - Rabin, Allon, the Defense Minister Shimon Peres - were already enthusiastic supporters of the "Jordanian Option", as were their predecessors, Golda Meir, Moshe Dayan and Abba Eban. My friends and I, who, on the contrary, advocated the "Palestinian Option", were a marginal minority. But Rabin rejected the offer categorically. Golda had publicly promised to hold a referendum or elections before giving back even one square inch of occupied territory. "I will not call an election because of Jericho!" Rabin declared. No Jordanian Option. No Palestinian Option. No nothing. NOW THE same is happening vis-à-vis Syria. Again there are two alternatives. The first: to start negotiations with Bashar al-Assad, who is making public overtures. That means being ready to give back the Golan Heights and allow the 60 thousand Syrian refugees to return home. In return, Sunni Syria could well cut itself loose from Iran and Hizbullah and join the front of Sunni states. Since Syria is both Sunni and secular-nationalist, that may also have a positive effect on the Palestinians. Olmert has demanded that Assad cut himself off from Iran and stop helping Hizbullah before any negotiations. That is a ridiculous demand, obviously intended to serve as an alibi for refusing to start talking. After all, Assad uses Hizbullah in order to put pressure on Israel to return the Golan. His alliance with Iran also serves the same purpose. How can he give up in advance the few cards he holds and still hope to achieve anything in the negotiations? The opposite alternative suggested by some senior army commanders: to invade Syria and do the same there as the Americans have done in Iraq. That would create anarchy throughout the Arab world, a situation that would be good for Israel. That would also renovate the image of the Israeli army that was damaged in Lebanon and restore its "deterrence power". So what will Olmert do? Give the Golan back? God forbid! Does he need trouble with the 16 thousand vociferous settlers there? What then, will he start a war with Syria? No! Hasn't he had enough military setbacks? So he will go for the third alternative: to do nothing. Bashar Assad has at least one consolation: He does not run the risk of being kissed by Olmert. |
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Note: The 99 names of Allah avatars are courtesy of www.arthafez.com
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